1. Client Investment Research
      Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough 1594119509
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      FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith

      FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith

      Report6 July 2020

      Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…

      By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole
      China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar
      Geopolitics and Globalisation

      China Quarterly Update: Technology v bricks and mortar

      Article30 June 2020

      Lockdowns and social distancing measures are short-term issues for the Chinese economy as a result of the Covid-19…

      By Iris Pang
      Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks
      Geopolitics and Globalisation

      Post-Brexit trade deal still possible despite rollercoaster talks

      Article3 July 2020

      Despite the latest round of UK-EU talks ending a day early, it's too early to conclude that the chances of a trade…

      By James Smith
      RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction

      RBA preview: Currency comments to drive reaction

      Article3 July 2020

      From a rates perspective, there is little need for Australia's central bank to do anything on Tuesday. The only cause…

      By Robert Carnelland Francesco Pesole
      July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

      July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

      Report2 July 2020

      The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…

      By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others
      Spotify
      Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis
      Geopolitics and Globalisation

      Listen: Brazil’s Covid crisis

      Article3 July 2020

      With 1.4 million coronavirus cases and over 60,000 deaths, Brazil now ranks as the second worst hit country in the world,…

      By Gustavo Rangeland Rebecca Byrne
      GBP: The ongoing disappointment

      GBP: The ongoing disappointment

      Article30 June 2020

      EUR/GBP broke through our quarter-end target of 0.91. We see more downside to sterling and expect EUR/GBP to trade above…

      By Petr Krpata, CFA
      UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank

      UK public finances: Not (yet) breaking the bank

      Article1 July 2020

      The myriad of risks surrounding the UK economic recovery means that government borrowing is set to remain high both this…

      By James Smithand Antoine Bouvet
      National debt levels – A cautionary tale
      National debt levels – A cautionary tale

      ArticleThe IMF's latest forecasts suggest a deeper contraction for 2020 with growth…

      1594136643
      Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond
      Supply, rates and curve: What to expect in 2H20 and beyond

      ArticleWe probably haven't seen the last upward revision to European states deficits,…

      1594129515
      THINK Outside

      VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism

      By VOX EU

      OpinionFor all the harm that it caused, the Covid-19 crisis provided an opening to rethink…

      1594135262
      FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction
      FX Positioning: EUR remains king despite a correction

      ArticleIn the week 24-30 June, CFTC positioning for EUR/USD corrected lower by the most in…

      1594124373
      Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough
      Czech industrial production improved in May, but not enough

      SnapCzech industrial production increased by 13.8% from April, but compared to a year…

      1594119509
      Are European governments pushing for a green recovery?
      Are European governments pushing for a green recovery?

      ArticleSustainability was already a hot-topic pre-Covid-19, but will this trend still…

      1594112837

      From yesterday to tomorrow

      July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
      July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

      The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…

      By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others

      Download PDF

      Geopolitics and Globalisation US: The wrong direction

      ArticleCovid-19 infections and hospitalisations are on the rise in many states, leading to…

      Eurozone: A deceptive ‘V’

      ArticleRecent indicators point to a V-shaped recovery, but that won’t last very…

      China: Covid-19 adds pressure to exports

      ArticleDomestically-driven growth has been faster than foreign-driven exports and…

      FX markets leave lockdown behind them

      ArticleThis month, we’ve been tasked with looking at the effects of lockdown exits…

      Rates: Warning signs that equities might have it all wrong

      ArticleMost financial instruments are present values of a discounted stream of future…

      Geopolitics and Globalisation US Politics: Troubling times for Mr President

      ArticlePresident Trump is languishing in the polls both nationally and in the swing states…

      Taiwan: exports keep falling
      Taiwan: exports keep falling

      SnapTaiwan's exports and imports continue to shrink on a yearly basis despite…

      1594117468
      Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry
      Hungary: A bittersweet record in industry

      SnapAfter an historic collapse, we now have an historic rebound in industry. However,…

      1594118481
      Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma
      Daily FX: Yuan back to the 7.00 dilemma

      ArticleChinese equities’ extraordinary rally remains in focus as a key driver of…

      1594106765
      Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry
      Rates Spark: Better safe than sorry

      ArticleWe expect investors to reduce risk into next week's ECB meeting but the threat…

      1594102140
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      Media

      National debt levels – A cautionary tale
      National debt levels – A cautionary tale
      US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
      US jobs – Don’t believe all the hype
      Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
      Listen: Recovery, reflation and the market response
      Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
      Covid-19 impacts on supply chains
      WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
      WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving
      China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
      China is recovering, but it’s still way too slow
      Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
      Why Europe may finally be getting its act together over Covid-19
      Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK
      Prepare for a significant QE increase in the UK
      Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
      Covid-19, deglobalisation and the cost companies must now consider
      The race to economic recovery
      The race to economic recovery
      Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again?
      Brexit: Are the markets right to be worried… again?
      Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
      Bottom line: We’re not going to get stagflation
      Now for some good news
      Now for some good news
      Britain, breakout and Brexit
      Britain, breakout and Brexit
      The big change in oil sentiment
      The big change in oil sentiment
      Watch:  Which market is getting it right?
      Watch:  Which market is getting it right?
      Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
      Europe’s top court hits back at German ECB ruling
      Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
      Central bank digital currencies and Covid-19
      6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
      6 ways Covid-19 is transforming digital finance
      Europe’s uneven recovery
      Europe’s uneven recovery

      THINK Outside New and expanding soon

      VoxEU: Covid and the nature of capitalism

      Priorities for the Covid-19 Economy

      Post-Pandemic Economic Leadership Begins in America

      The Main Street Manifesto

      Reports

      LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts
      LATAM FX Talking: Reaching the limit of rate cuts

      A preoccupation with stability in local financial markets, especially FX, is now driving the monetary policy decisions of…

      By Gustavo Rangel

      Download PDF
      FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith
      FX Talking: Keeping the (bullish) faith

      Despite many opportunities, risk assets have so far avoided the kind of sharp re-alignment with Main Street that so many…

      By Chris Turner, Petr Krpata, CFAand Francesco Pesole

      Download PDF
      Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks
      Asia FX Talking: Balance of risks

      The near-term direction for Asian currencies will be dominated by whether Covid-19 angst or recovery optimism prevail.…

      By Robert Carnell, Chris Turnerand 3 others

      Download PDF
      July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow
      July Economic Update: From yesterday to tomorrow

      The reopenings have led to a sharp rebound in activity, but new localised Covid-19 outbreaks have cast a renewed cloud…

      By Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turnerand 9 others

      Download PDF

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      Consumer economics

      WATCH: The effect of coronavirus on spending and saving

      Coronavirus: Saving differently, not equally

      Coronavirus unequally impacts savings

      Football fandom and loss aversion: A paradox

       

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